I remember this afternoon distinctly. Aaron and I sat together in my office in front of my laptop, and we were looking at plots of our results in the software Mathematica. We saw that indeed there is this point where the predictions match up to within 10%.
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，这一点在谷歌中也有详细论述
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The key difference is to set expectations based on the shape of likely outcomes, not hopeful pipedreams. Investor returns tend to follow a bell curve—most people earn around the average. Entrepreneurial outcomes, however, follow a power law distribution. That means a lucky few (Zuckerberg, Gates, Musk etc) earn massive amounts—so much so that they skew the average. It’s like city populations: most cities are small, but a handful are enormous because people flock to them–drawn by opportunity, talent, capital and more—making them even bigger.。关于这个话题，今日热点提供了深入分析
odd positions: 9,7,5,3,1 sum to 25;